|There is a major undervaluation in the resource estimate from the Gora deposit in Senegal. Teranga Gold(TGZ) has said on their website and in previous MD&A reports that only 140,000 ounces of Gold exist. However, Axmin clearly states on their website that Gora has just under 400,000 ounces of Gold. Now if we break this down, Gora has much more life ahead of it and here are the numbers to prove it.|
Note – Gora did not start production until Q4 2015.
TGZ Gora Estimate – 140,000 Ounces Proven + Probable
AXM Gora Estimate – 395,000 Ounces Proven + Probable
Ounces Mined: 22,814
Royalty Paid To Axmin: $300K USD
Ounces Mined: 67,948
Royalty Paid To Axmin: $1M USD
Ounces Mined: 115,398 – 60,587 coming from Q4 2017, major increase in production
Royalty Paid To Axmin: $1.6M USD
Total ounces mined: 206,160 (from 2015 to 2017)
So that has already exceeded TGZ’s estimate by 60,000 ounces. However, that is only over half of what Axmin has stated. As well, keep in mind that TGZ mined the most gold out of Gora in the most recent quarter, how is that possible if the resource is ending? Someone must of made a huge mistake on the Teranga side. On top of this, there are three other adjacent claims that could very well go into production soon (Honey, Jam, Cinnamon) as these are 1-2km’s away from Gora and results were similar or better from the 70,000m of drilling, bulk sampling and other tests performed.
The Gora deposit, located on the Sounkounkou licence, has a proven and probable reserve, based on a US$1,500 gold price, of 2.1 Mt grading 4.22 g/t Au containing 285,000 ounces. The Measured and Indicated Resource at Gora has increased to 374,000 ounces of gold at 5.0 g/t Au and an Inferred resource of 20,000 ounces grading 3.4 g/t Au.
Note - This was last updated in 2012, so the resource could easily have increased since then with more exploration.
Financials on Sedar for TGZ show all the sales from Gora and royalties paid.
| Reply to Jimjones1972 - Msg #6136 - 04/04/2018 10:48|
AXM.V Due Diligence Report (Most Recent Financials + MD&A)
Common Shares: 130,497,381
Insider/Institutional Holdings: 82,089,114 (as per Sedar Information Circular)
Axmin Inc. is a gold royalty and production based company focused in Africa. They own 100% interest in the only large scale gold mine in the CAR(Central African Republic), as well as a 1.5% royalty in Senegal on a multi million ounce deposit that TGZ.T(Teranga Gold) put into production at the start of 2016.
Axmin received a $185 million USD loan in 2011 after proving up 2+ million ounces of gold in CAR and was ready to create the first large mine in that country. Shortly after, an internal conflict broke out, suspending operations for several years. Now, the conflict is pretty much over and there are numerous larger institutions backing support for not on the Central African Republic, but also for Axmin’s mine. This is because it can bring immense economic benefit to the country of only 5 million people. In the meantime, the royalty from Senegal has added tremendous cash flow to the company that can help rebuild assets.
The website is currently being updated(as per my conversation with management) but this 2012 presentation has all the information on the CAR gold deposit. Keep in mind that Senegal was not in production at this time, so it’s not included in it.
AXM will have year end results in April and Q1 2018 results in May, two more quarters of revenue/profit from the gold royalties.
Financials + MD&A (All Assets Are In $USD)
Prepaid Expenses: $2,184
Total Assets: $1,369,453 (2016 - $516,121)
Accounts Payable: $2,468,754
Due To Related Parties: $235,737
Liabilities Of Discontinued Operations: $323,103
Total Liabilities: $3,027,594 (2016 - $2,952,285)
2017 & 2016 Revenue Summary (All $USD)
Royalty Income: $980,380
G&A Expenses: $295,821
Net Income: $684,559
*note – Show loss due to $1 million being spent on increasing CAR acreage in preparation for going back into the country and increasing the reserves
Royalty Income: $970,855
G&A Expenses: $292,824
Net Income: $705,718
As you can see, AXM is very profitable just on the gold royalty alone. But having the CAR project back would add literally a few billion dollars worth of gold value since all the work has been done on that property and it is ready to go into production. Recent news shows the UN, EU, IMF, Russia and numerous countries/institutions supporting the resumption of business in the country.
MD&A Highlights From Q3 2017
AXMIN is a publicly listed corporation with its shares trading on the TSX Venture Exchange (“TSXV”) under the symbol AXM. The Company is an international mineral exploration and development company with a strong focus on the African continent. AXMIN, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, has exploration projects in the Central African Republic (“CAR”) and Senegal. The Company’s primary asset is the Passendro gold project situated in the CAR. Due to escalating interreligious conflicts in the CAR, all in-country operations other than administrative functions, carried out in the capital city of Bangui, have been suspended.
With regarding of Axmin owned 20% interest in the Sounkouko and Heremokono explorations permits, on June 18, 2015, in addition to its royalty interest of 1.5% NSR in the Gora Target Area, AXMIN has elected to convert its 20% interests in another 15 Target Areas into a 1.5% NSR from each Target Area. On January 12, 2016, AXMIN elected to convert its 20% interest in one new Target area into a 1.5% NSR. After these Royalty Elections, AXMIN holds a 1.5% NSR on 17 Royalty Target Areas (being Target Areas have been made Royalty Election on) in total and maintains 20% interests of Remainder Areas within the Senegal permits. Axmin’s royalty rights are intended to continue and survive the Joint Venture Agreement and remain tied to the permits themselves, irrespective of title holder. Since August 2015, Axmin Inc. started to generate the 1.5-per-cent net-smelter-return royalty’s income from the Gora deposit. The total royalty income for the nine months ended September 30, 2017 was $970,855 (2016 - $855,098). The royalty is applied to the production of gold from the Gora deposit, located in the Senegal Republic. The Gora deposit is operated by Axmin's joint venture partner, Sabodala Mining Company SARL, a wholly owned subsidiary of Teranga Gold Corp.
Central African Republic – Passendro Gold Project
The Company’s primary asset is the Passendro gold project, which is situated in the centre of a 25-year Mining License (355 sq km) that was awarded to AXMIN in August 2010. At the same time, the Company was also awarded two, three-year renewable Exploration Licenses, Bambari 1 and 2 (1,240 sq km), which ring fence the Mining License and cover a 90 km strike along the highly prospective Bambari greenstone belt.
On December 24, 2012, the Company officially notified the CAR Minister of Mines and Defence of the existence of a state of Force Majeure due to the escalating rebel activity in the country and the necessity to withdraw its field operations. Since that time, AXMIN has not had access to its Passendro project. The Mining Convention of 2006 and the addendum thereto concluded in August 2010 provide the Company with full protection under the circumstances and, in the event that there is a change of Government in the CAR, the existence of Force Majeure stays work related obligations. It is these circumstances that have caused the Company to suspend all Passendro based operations as well as negotiations with prospective lenders. Prior to the Force Majeure, the Company was working towards securing financing to develop the Passendro gold project into CAR’s first modern gold mine. The following is a brief summary of the status at Passendro gold project as at December 2012. A full description of the Passendro gold project can be found in the Company’s audited financial statements for 2014 and 2013, its June 2012 Annual Information Form, the 2011 Bankable Feasibility Study Optimization & Update and its 2009 Mineral Resource Estimate prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43-101”). All reports can be accessed under the Company’s profile on the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com.
On November 28, 2016, the Minister of Mines, Energy and Hydraulics of the CAR issued Ministerial Order No 245/16/MMEH/DIRCAB/DGMD, giving an Exemption Certificate of one (1) year to start the development and pre-production work at the Passendro Gold Project to SOMIO Toungou SA, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company. The period of the Exemption is valid within duration of one (1) year starting from November 28, 2016 to November 27, 2017. Also on November 28, 2016, the Minister of Mines, Energy and Hydraulics of the CAR issued the Ministerial Order No 246/16/MMEH/DIRCAB/DGMD, giving an Exemption Certificate of one (1) year for exploration and research of the primary layer of gold and others related to substances of Licenses of BAMBARI 1 and 2 to Aurafrique SARL, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company. The period of the Exemption is valid within duration of one year from November 28, 2016 to November 27, 2017. In 2016, the Company incurred $1,000,000 for the extension of the licenses of BAMBARI 1 and 2, which is included in accounts payable and accrued liabilities in consolidated statements of financial position as of September 30, 2017. As of the date of this report, operations at Passendro remain suspended and although the Company continues to maintain a presence in the CAR (through its administrative office and permanently stationed employees in Bangui) and relationship with the State in the CAR, the Company is unable to predict when it will be able to resume its operations at Passendro for the foreseeable future, if at all. As a result, impairment in the amount of $37,346,576 was recognized at December 31, 2013 on exploration and evaluation (“E&E”) assets for the Bambari properties to reflect the decrease in their recoverable value as of result of the current unstable situation in CAR. As at September 30, 2017, given that impairment was recognized and the unstable condition remains the same, the residual value of E&E assets for the Passendro gold project was written down to $nil. This impairment recognized in the financial statements does not in any way mean that the Company is relinquishing its rights to the assets and it reflects the utmost conservative view by management on the objective circumstances and will be reviewed annually and subject to recovery when certain conditions are met pursuant to the accounting standards the Company has adopted.
Senegal Joint Venture
On February 28, 2012, AXMIN and its joint venture partner and manager, Sabodala Mining Company SARL (“SMC”), a whollyowned subsidiary of Teranga Gold Corporation (“Teranga”) amended its 2008 joint venture agreement. At the time, Teranga had earned an 80% interest in the Sounkounkou, Heremokono and Sabodala NW explorations licenses (the “Project”) located in the Birimian belt of eastern Senegal, by spending US$6 million on exploration. AXMIN has retained a 20% interest in the Project. The amended joint venture and royalty agreement (the “Agreement”) supersedes and replaces the original joint venture agreement. Under the terms of the Agreement, AXMIN had a free-carried interest of $2.5 million, with respect to the Project work costs starting from October 1, 2011, after which both parties are to jointly fund the Project work costs on a pro-rata basis. As of September 30, 2017, the free-carried interest balance was $nil.
The 2012 Agreement with SMC includes, among other things, the following terms: (a) both parties agree that their respective interests (Teranga–80% and AXMIN–20%) in the Project are divided into Target Areas (being areas subject to exploration) and Remainder Areas (areas not yet subject to exploration); and (b) that both parties will retain all respective interests in all of these areas, until an election is made by AXMIN to convert its 20% interest in a Target Area into a 1.5% NSR or Royalty Interest (“Royalty Election”). After AXMIN has made a Royalty Election with respect to the Target Area, SMC will solely fund all finance work costs for each of the Royalty Interests.
On June 18, 2015, in addition to its royalty interest of 1.5% NSR in the Gora Target Area, AXMIN has elected to convert its 20% interests in another 15 Target Areas into a 1.5% NSR from each Target Area. On January 12, 2016, AXMIN elected to convert its 20% interest in one new Target area into a 1.5% NSR. After this Royalty Election, AXMIN holds a 1.5% NSR on 17 Royalty Target Areas (being Target Areas have been made Royalty Election on) in total and maintains 20% interests of Remainder Areas within the Senegal permits. The free carried interest of US$2.5 million granted to AXMIN under the Agreement has been depleted on account of its 20% Participation Interest in respect of all Participation Target Areas (being areas subject to exploration and both parties remain their respective interests (Teranga – 80% and AXMIN – 20%)). No further participation contribution needs to be made by AXMIN beyond this $2.5 million free carried interest with respect to the Participation Target Areas where a Royalty Election has been made. Full details of the exploration programs at the Senegal JV can be found on the Teranga website at www.terangagold.com.