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Forum - Wall Street Pit    Stock Due Diligence for All

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From: kcprinters (Rep: 688) reply to Bender24Date: 03/26/2020 18:39
Forum: Wall Street Pit - Msg #2828901Thread #674137169 (Rec: 2)
Re: please check my math...drudge reports 80,000 deaths in 4 months....does t...the flu rates are based on cases, not population - ie, last year, up to 54000000 cases assumed, up to 59000 deaths in US - that is 0.1% of cases. What we are seeing now though, China showed around 3%, whereas Italy/Spain 5-10%. This is still early on, you have to understand that. What if there were 54 million cases of corona by end of year at a 5% death rate? Now you are looking at nearly 3 million deaths.

That is the concern. Not where we are NOW, but where we could be if we don't smarten up and isolate.

Now remember too, all those flu cases are spread over 6-8 months and probably 99% of those are just common that people just stay home for and take some tamiflu. Now, we have this surge in the span of a couple weeks with people needing to be admitted and we are out of hospital beds. Its all related to the speed and severity of spread.



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Reply to Bender24 - Msg #2828894 - 03/26/2020 18:20

Re: please check my math...drudge reports 80,000 deaths in 4 months....does that ...

That’s an extremely low mortality rate (0.025%). Similar to the regular flu. A non-story if that’s how it turns out.

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